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Random, Yet
Programmed
Even to experienced gamblers, slot machines hold a
certain mystique, if you will. Fruit machines are like instruments
of Fate itself: push a button, and watch the wiles of Chance take
over. Part of what makes the slots seem so inscrutable is the simple
fact that the vast majority of players simply do not understand how
they work. There is, perhaps, no other form of gambling surrounded
by as much myth, superstition, and misconception as the one-armed
bandits.
Most slot game fans know that the devices’ outcomes are random –
even if none of them will give up their pet beliefs about what
factors could possibly make the machines more apt to work in their
favor. It’s also hard to miss the fact that these machines are
programmed by the casino or gambling establishment, to payout a
certain percentage of the time. If you think about it, this seems to
be an oxymoron. How, exactly, can something be random, and yet
programmed?
It’s entirely possible, actually, because the two factors
(probability vs. payout) are completely different from each other.
If you flip a coin, for example, long-term results are going to show
heads versus tails having a fifty/fifty split. Yet, individual coin
flips make no differentiation for what came before them, so it’s
possible to have winning and losing streaks. (It’s the same reason
that most families with large numbers of children still have more of
one sex than the other.) If you bet fifty cents a flip, and not only
keep your half-dollar, but gain forty-five cents from the house per
accurate coin flip, you have a payoff percentage of ninety-five
percent: the average in casinos. Over a long period of time, your
payback will be ninety-five percent, regardless of how many heads or
tails you earn in a given sitting.
Back to October 2008 Archive.
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